01 · CAPTURE
Around-the-clock capture
Order books, trades and market events recorded 24/7 from major venues on redundant hosts — with watchdogs that notice a gap before a person would.
Mercury Ledger captures crypto market microstructure around the clock, seals every observation into an append-only evidence ledger, and tests trading hypotheses against that record — rigorously, reproducibly, adversarially.
Mercury Ledger
Mercury Ledger is an independent, self-funded research project asking one question: how much of short-horizon crypto market behavior survives honest measurement? It is not a fund, manages no outside capital and sells nothing — the discipline is the point.
What it is
Three parts, one loop: record the market, seal the record, argue with it.
01 · CAPTURE
Order books, trades and market events recorded 24/7 from major venues on redundant hosts — with watchdogs that notice a gap before a person would.
02 · LEDGER
Observations and results are sealed with cryptographic digests. Any conclusion can be traced back to the exact data — and the exact code — that produced it.
03 · LAB
Ideas enter as precise, testable claims and face adversarial review — an advocate, a skeptic, and a verdict with receipts. Only survivors graduate toward live validation.
Exhibit
The raw material: live market microstructure, captured around the clock.
Method
The ledger grows around the clock, regardless of what we currently believe — capture is never paused to fit a theory.
A hypothesis becomes a precise, testable contract, with its acceptance criteria written down before the experiment runs.
Backtests, visual sanity passes and adversarial pro-and-contra review. What survives is accepted — with its evidence attached.
Status
Running continuously, guarded automatically, growing daily.
24/7
Continuous microstructure capture across major crypto venues, on redundant, watchdogged hosts
3,000+
Automated checks that must pass before any change to the research codebase lands
100%
Of accepted results sealed to the exact data and code that produced them
Contact
Research correspondence welcome · Mercury Ledger is a private research project — not an investment product, not investment advice, and not an offer of services